Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4cb20d375c8b9ef26bac0d4255aeaeb2f3ddd17e7628a67134cabe83a035d30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 62c | 2,145$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.89 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,896$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 1,406$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.11 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 16c | 990.86$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.36 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 22c | 968.96$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.75 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 26c | 857.95$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed Yes | 16c | 575.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…1096backed Yes | 9c | 529.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 22c | 505.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 14c | 349.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 17c | 348.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 18c | 323.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 15c | 322.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 37c | 310.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 284.11$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 68c | 253.43$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 14c | 235.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 12c | 232.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 17c | 166.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Yes | 26c | 161.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 146.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…8795backed Yes | 31c | 132.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 58c | 130.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…425ebacked Yes | 65c | 130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 15c | 116.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 22c | 111.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…156cbacked Yes | 30c | 93.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 75c | 81.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 105 | 14.3%15 W · 90 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 70c | 71.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…ef23backed Yes | 42c | 66.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed No | 58c | 65.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 33c | 59.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f2…ee29backed Yes | 40c | 56.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 55.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…702dbacked Yes | 35c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…01b9backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 28c | 44.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 42.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 32c | 31.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…8a4ebacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…ff72backed Yes | 42c | 29.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -14.0wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 72c | 29.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…1b9abacked No | 53c | 29.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…897ebacked No | 66c | 29.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…4f6fbacked Yes | 62c | 26.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 68c | 20.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf3…3c08backed No | 80c | 19.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e7…974dbacked No | 73c | 18.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 60-79 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.