TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of April 6 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf75f…0988backed Yes0c10,122$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa065…2169backed Yes2c602.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe49…27a9backed Yes4c526.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0360%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe5…58bcbacked Yes6c474.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.08742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes11c325.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.11287.1%2 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-88.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92bd…a35ebacked No56c319.64$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.94866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+42%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed No78c214.68$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.61,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x547d…ea58backed No38c201.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.562864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d94…a85fbacked Yes75c131.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9830%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes27c96.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1124126.1%63 W · 178 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f91…7e82backed Yes57c84.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bd4…c680backed Yes51c76.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.22744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked No58c51.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.427044.3%31 W · 39 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x28ab…2048backed No42c47.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.619054.4%49 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0960…e14cbacked Yes47c46.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No76c46.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.054973.5%36 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Yes64c45.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed No44c37.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…809ebacked Yes66c29.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa236…73f6backed No49c23.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6364…8316backed No75c15.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.976150.8%31 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.