Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd75843b1e736b6e2ffde9b474bf702dcf862ba912d55ab2dd4790cd131251cf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Miss Rebelsof Vanderbilt Commodores, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 50c | 1,201$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.7 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ole Miss Rebels | 54c | 505.52$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 491.21$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 47c | 446.07$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 50c | 397.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ole Miss Rebels | 64c | 144.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 46c | 130.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 18c | 111.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 44c | 104.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ole Miss Rebels | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 54c | 99.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 51c | 97.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 71.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 68c | 69.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 63.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 64c | 32.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-6.5)this page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt Commodores won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 154.5Over won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.