TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Will Xandra Velzeboer (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,292 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes30c639.83$193 inLost-$192.866923.2%16 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No71c195$138 inWon+$56.552948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost-$157035.7%25 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4644…a2b6backed No70c50$35 inWon+$151952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8116…b2a8backed No80c37.5$30 inWon+$7.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6470…aac7backed Yes46c35.63$16 inLost-$16.391560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No59c30.48$18 inWon+$12.5111858.5%69 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No66c15.66$10 inWon+$5.321973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.