Olympics · resolved market
Will Gilli Kim (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bce48c13f3fd57a04c54f837aa67a7745fa8d220d8709a5dc894b2cbee25883
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x359f…fa80backed No | 4c | 1,700$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,131$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 972.68$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.47 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed No | 2c | 899.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…9bffbacked Yes | 79c | 250.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Yes | 41c | 249.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 32c | 125.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…a2b6backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked No | 71c | 82.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 24c | 77.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 46c | 59.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 37.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…30d3backed No | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 30c | 36.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gilli Kim (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Arianna Fontana (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Courtney Sarault (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Elisa Confortola (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Hanne Desmet (BEL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Minjeong Choi (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Xandra Velzeboer (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.