TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,215 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c10…fc8ebacked Yes7c2,225$146 inLost-$146.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c431$24 inLost-$23.942,1633.9%85 W · 2,078 L+5.8wins0.00per pick4cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b6…2c93backed Yes8c398.98$30 inLost-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes7c297.73$22 inLost-$22.062,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes8c284.85$24 inLost-$23.7822926.6%61 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes37c217.46$80 inLost-$8010924.8%27 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes17c150.32$25 inLost-$25.0940016.8%67 W · 333 L-0.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981b…c11cbacked Yes27c101.2$27 inLost-$27.435538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No62c100$62 inWon+$3810330.1%31 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No59c90.82$54 inWon+$37.2430955%170 W · 139 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9704…e11bbacked Yes30c65.87$20 inLost-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No74c53.07$39 inWon+$13.614575.9%110 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick75cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes21c48$10 inLost-$10.083658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4616…a910backed No71c33.35$24 inWon+$9.5833670.2%236 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No77c21.77$17 inWon+$4.955066%33 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed No61c16.87$10 inWon+$6.5865623.2%152 W · 504 L+1.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.