Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ed747672fdd6b87b22081f38ce540609936d3b000e80f37af8bef0b207f5bb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 72c | 433$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c10…fc8ebacked No | 65c | 429.28$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 19c | 369.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 28c | 300.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes | 23c | 297.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.92 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 78c | 278$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 19c | 253.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 9c | 240.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…40d8backed No | 52c | 223.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes | 46c | 217.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…edf9backed No | 79c | 185.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 48c | 184.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…147abacked Yes | 7c | 162.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…35d5backed Yes | 38c | 154.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe298…9ef4backed Yes | 13c | 99.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…23a6backed No | 30c | 97.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 14c | 94.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…24c6backed Yes | 14c | 77.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed Yes | 55c | 60.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…1a2cbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…df85backed Yes | 20c | 52.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…ab27backed Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 48.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 55c | 44.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 50c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked No | 73c | 35.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9a…4373backed Yes | 45c | 31.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 46c | 28.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 434 | 5.1%22 W · 412 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…3507backed No | 53c | 27.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6714…fad2backed No | 65c | 24.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…e73dbacked Yes | 66c | 22.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…ffa2backed Yes | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeced…c598backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 23 | 95.7%22 W · 1 L | +5.9wins | +0.26per pick | 70cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked No | 76c | 13.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.