MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba7d2625768c40b2d9568523416ace3d7b7e5832b16e8d4055f8a7aa4d4e0a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 3,732$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.92 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,899$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.89 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,133$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.44 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 914.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 707.87$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.18 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 499$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.46 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 470.37$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.74 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 430.57$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.95 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 325.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 306.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 291.66$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 253.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 149.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 142.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 119.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 94.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 83.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 59.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 45.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 42.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 42.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 39.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 36.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…48d9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…47c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 35.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…e563backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 35.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 25.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.