TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Virginia win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,659 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd5b…8882backed Yes13c1,509$199 inLost-$198.874822.9%11 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb29…a7fcbacked Yes25c527.38$131 inLost-$131.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd607…e854backed Yes26c519.99$134 inLost-$13420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes23c374.39$86 inLost-$86.114250%21 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed No30c270$81 inWon+$1892846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f85…b41fbacked Yes6c258.57$15 inLost-$153520%7 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes9c197.35$18 inLost-$17.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbf…1395backed Yes67c160.24$107 inLost-$107.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Yes71c141.66$101 inLost-$100.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes26c114$30 inLost-$29.8463243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No61c76.59$46 inWon+$30.151650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No79c75$59 inWon+$15.552075%15 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a0…5cc4backed No42c69$29 inWon+$39.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes23c66.13$15 inLost-$15.421250%6 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+86.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31ce…2d9fbacked No33c53$17 inWon+$35.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked No72c45.97$33 inWon+$12.995556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1804…bd47backed No71c45$32 inWon+$12.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+80.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b6…fcdebacked No29c45$13 inWon+$31.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+243.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed No50c42$21 inWon+$20.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No48c40.88$20 inWon+$21.18520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7b…eebfbacked No33c39$13 inWon+$26.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+202.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3713…a2e4backed No32c39$13 inWon+$26.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+211.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec5…88e6backed No29c37$11 inWon+$26.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+243.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ad…3581backed No45c36.27$16 inWon+$19.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb3…9b13backed Yes66c20$13 inLost-$13.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5050…836abacked Yes67c19$13 inLost-$12.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…24bfbacked Yes75c19$14 inLost-$14.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d8…1f87backed Yes71c18$13 inLost-$12.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x364e…275ebacked Yes67c18$12 inLost-$12.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x001e…2631backed Yes70c17$12 inLost-$11.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ee…4967backed Yes70c16$11 inLost-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d69…0937backed Yes71c16$11 inLost-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dec…b416backed Yes67c16$11 inLost-$10.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2a…8820backed Yes70c15$11 inLost-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3b…e1dbbacked Yes71c15$11 inLost-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b6…6f4dbacked Yes70c15$11 inLost-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b0…081fbacked Yes68c15$10 inLost-$10.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.