College Football · resolved market
Will Duke win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99ce70218cba3213e229f64235161a0dc39fd5a2d3c81230defb7219205eaac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 851$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.23 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 6c | 636.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Yes | 28c | 230$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 22c | 146.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 10c | 117.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 62c | 67.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf6…37e1backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…b1c2backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…238fbacked Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…9b83backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…800cbacked Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecec…4ee2backed Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…4621backed Yes | 31c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 35.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa773…c72abacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…3b2fbacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…9852backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…d9a8backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…7b35backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…cfbdbacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…c22fbacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…5300backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f0…1522backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…c949backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…fd45backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31b…ba43backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995a…d11bbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Duke win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?this page
- Will California win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will Florida State win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will Georgia Tech win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will Miami win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will Pittsburgh win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will SMU win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will Stanford win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will Virginia Tech win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will Virginia win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
- Will Wake Forest win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.