TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,354 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa963…b22ebacked Yes1c4,063$41 inLost-$40.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d3…4e5bbacked Yes1c4,044$40 inLost-$40.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes8c1,300$104 inLost-$103.641833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes2c999.99$20 inLost-$20.517322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes5c938.3$52 inLost-$51.513048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes12c928.7$111 inLost-$111.4429138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x676a…a7c7backed Yes3c812.86$24 inLost-$243030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c573.3$27 inLost-$26.691877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…3044backed Yes23c440$101 inLost-$101.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes13c372.13$48 inLost-$48.016119.7%12 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes18c336.5$61 inLost-$60.6911916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…7ba1backed No79c126.58$100 inWon+$26.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c8d…687ebacked Yes14c100$14 inLost-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x233d…8c69backed Yes19c90$17 inLost-$17.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes22c89.44$20 inLost-$19.78633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…99bebacked Yes25c44.6$11 inLost-$111338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea13…8fc0backed Yes32c40.63$13 inLost-$13120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.