CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f9d1de87805c96f47a664f396172aac6a205bdc1ff5a338e528515f2ceca392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed Lavked | 1c | 25,123$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 16c | 4,282$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 4,026$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.58 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 3,892$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.19 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 2,394$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.23 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Lavked | 29c | 2,031$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.25 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 2,004$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.36 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…75f0backed Lavked | 15c | 1,904$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 1,891$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.64 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 32c | 1,667$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 1,604$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.81 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 24c | 1,472$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Lavked | 28c | 1,280$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.98 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Lavked | 26c | 1,137$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1e6dbacked Lavked | 8c | 1,059$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 1,042$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.77 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Lavked | 9c | 998.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 943.91$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.56 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lavked | 28c | 905.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.18 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Lavked | 21c | 894.11$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lavked | 21c | 853.9$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.54 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Lavked | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 45c | 731.64$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 720.86$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 689.36$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lavked | 25c | 658.86$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Lavked | 31c | 593.94$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Lavked | 36c | 512.93$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Lavked | 31c | 495.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.14 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 431.09$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Lavked | 24c | 400.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Lavked | 26c | 361.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Lavked | 16c | 360.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Lavked | 25c | 346.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 341.54$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked | 19c | 333.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…f251backed Lavked | 13c | 323.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked | 14c | 303.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Lavked | 23c | 289.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed Lavked | 33c | 287.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 287.68$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Lavked | 53c | 274.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2eefbacked Lavked | 19c | 259.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…962ebacked Lavked | 48c | 202.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 193.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 191.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb6…ba42backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 190.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lavked | 26c | 172.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Lavked | 30c | 166.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Lavked | 30c | 156.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Lavked | 32c | 152.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Lavked | 35c | 149.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lavked | 30c | 142.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Lavked | 34c | 140.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Lavked | 13c | 138.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Lavked | 23c | 124.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 26c | 123.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Lavked | 24c | 119.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 115.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Lavked | 31c | 112.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 10c | 108.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked | 24c | 108.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Lavked | 33c | 107.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…3654backed Lavked | 11c | 101.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Lavked | 47c | 101.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Lavked | 28c | 99.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 99.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Lavked | 23c | 99.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 98.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…368dbacked Lavked | 25c | 97.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 97.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lavked | 22c | 94.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Lavked | 31c | 91.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Lavked | 40c | 91.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…8698backed Lavked | 21c | 91.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Lavked | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Lavked | 22c | 88.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…5bbebacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 86.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…eab3backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 85.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 84.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 83.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…b857backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 82.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 81.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Lavked | 23c | 79.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 79.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Lavked | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 73.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lavked | 25c | 71.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 64.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked Lavked | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed Lavked | 33c | 58.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 57.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 56.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Lavked | 42c | 56.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…1106backed Lavked | 34c | 54.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…bc8ebacked Lavked | 20c | 53.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.