CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb96d97d9f195704920c6db70e3974b415dac383bf2b21372037bc19f3fc9509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof 100 Thieves, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Lavked | 53c | 1,357$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.31 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 17c | 792.8$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed 100 Thieves | 2c | 672.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lavked | 65c | 572$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.59 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 526.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 399.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 65c | 256.7$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 220.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 213.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 112.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 108$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 96.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 96.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked | 54c | 82.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 65.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 63.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 63.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Lavked | 70c | 61.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Lavked | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Lavked | 51c | 48.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lavked | 78c | 46.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 48c | 41.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 35.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 35.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 45c | 32.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…5792backed Lavked | 53c | 26.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed Lavked | 52c | 24.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Lavked | 77c | 17.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.