Tennis · resolved market
Santiago: Andrea Collarini vs Alex Barrena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e5567271b2513d9932bb1a6b2b74daddbc5822f3a334a09a83abe2feed474e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Collariniof Andrea Collarini, Alex Barrena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Alex Barrena | 40c | 5,906$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.02 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Andrea Collarini | 78c | 3,065$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.07 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andrea Collarini | 80c | 3,049$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.17 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Alex Barrena | 30c | 2,943$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrea Collarini | 55c | 2,782$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.17 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Andrea Collarini | 37c | 2,017$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.57 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Alex Barrena | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Alex Barrena | 18c | 1,553$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.1 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Alex Barrena | 35c | 1,153$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Andrea Collarini | 40c | 1,025$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.03 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…8ad7backed Alex Barrena | 64c | 954.8$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Barrena | 42c | 807.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alex Barrena | 48c | 677$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.95 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Andrea Collarini | 41c | 673.4$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.1 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Alex Barrena | 18c | 566.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Andrea Collarini | 67c | 557.39$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.45 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d9…d520backed Andrea Collarini | 30c | 500$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alex Barrena | 61c | 463$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.02 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Andrea Collarini | 67c | 460.09$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alex Barrena | 59c | 451$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.09 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Alex Barrena | 51c | 431$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.14 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Alex Barrena | 55c | 410$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.96 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andrea Collarini | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Barrena | 14c | 363.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Andrea Collarini | 67c | 330.33$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Alex Barrena | 31c | 323.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Andrea Collarini | 78c | 317$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Andrea Collarini | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Andrea Collarini | 68c | 263.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Alex Barrena | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Andrea Collarini | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Alex Barrena | 34c | 223.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Alex Barrena | 63c | 212$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Alex Barrena | 17c | 196.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alex Barrena | 63c | 174.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Andrea Collarini | 37c | 171$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Alex Barrena | 21c | 150.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Andrea Collarini | 38c | 137$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Andrea Collarini | 37c | 136.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andrea Collarini | 65c | 125.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Andrea Collarini | 39c | 113$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Alex Barrena | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Andrea Collarini | 38c | 93.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Andrea Collarini | 54c | 92.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Andrea Collarini | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…2aacbacked Andrea Collarini | 73c | 78.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Andrea Collarini | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alex Barrena | 31c | 54.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alex Barrena | 59c | 49.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Andrea Collarini | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Alex Barrena | 40c | 45.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Andrea Collarini | 41c | 40.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alex Barrena | 28c | 38.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Alex Barrena | 32c | 38.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Andrea Collarini | 45c | 37.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Alex Barrena | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Andrea Collarini | 38c | 34.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Andrea Collarini | 76c | 30.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…41d6backed Alex Barrena | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alex Barrena | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Andrea Collarini | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Alex Barrena | 59c | 21.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…a9cebacked Andrea Collarini | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Alex Barrena | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Andrea Collarini | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Andrea Collarini | 77c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.