Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers beat Malmo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d617cb43042007ab077f9dad29f16007d9d4f0e35ed1202702ef48fd9da583
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x377f…9e02backed No | 2c | 2,486$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 69c | 620.27$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.99 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 29c | 555$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.05 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 31c | 323.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 71c | 322.27$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.27 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Yes | 31c | 255$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 71c | 249.53$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 70c | 199.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 30c | 189.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 69c | 85.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 66c | 82.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…2404backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90fd…3443backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed No | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 70c | 49.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…3a93backed No | 72c | 37.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 71c | 27.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers beat Malmo?this page
- Will Malmo beat Rangers?No won
- Will the match between Malmo vs. Rangers end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.