Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will the match between Malmo vs. Rangers end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b101f5d71f46f20ddee2cbc5f64a9a8af39b37555d2cb907648a721eb728ec9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 74c | 3,792$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 28c | 1,300$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,179$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.43 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 26c | 1,054$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.05 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed No | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 29c | 259.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b5…5a79backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…0190backed Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 26c | 44.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6963…8dfbbacked No | 74c | 24.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Malmo vs. Rangers end in a draw?this page
- Will Malmo beat Rangers?No won
- Will Rangers beat Malmo?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.