Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da61f9f72c5955d41daa22e73f0ab5fb068e4c5b7f508793d996aa990efaa7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, MVK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Secret Whales | 68c | 1,735$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.87 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed MVK Esports | 32c | 1,057$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.24 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Team Secret Whales | 60c | 1,041$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.93 | 260 | 62.7%163 W · 97 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MVK Esports | 29c | 990.96$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.12 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MVK Esports | 5c | 795.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 715.76$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MVK Esports | 33c | 700$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.3 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed MVK Esports | 38c | 692.22$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.04 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked MVK Esports | 39c | 652.22$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.58 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Team Secret Whales | 69c | 600$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked MVK Esports | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Secret Whales | 68c | 499.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.66 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MVK Esports | 30c | 488.57$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MVK Esports | 32c | 451.82$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MVK Esports | 6c | 444$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Team Secret Whales | 71c | 424.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Secret Whales | 70c | 410.21$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Secret Whales | 62c | 407.94$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked MVK Esports | 31c | 321.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 567 | 44.8%254 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed MVK Esports | 32c | 320$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 287 | 34.1%98 W · 189 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MVK Esports | 25c | 319.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Team Secret Whales | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MVK Esports | 27c | 263.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MVK Esports | 11c | 262$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed MVK Esports | 7c | 225.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked MVK Esports | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Team Secret Whales | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Secret Whales | 56c | 180.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MVK Esports | 33c | 177$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MVK Esports | 16c | 172.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MVK Esports | 41c | 170$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MVK Esports | 41c | 169.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Secret Whales | 71c | 169.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 141.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Team Secret Whales | 73c | 136.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 130.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Team Secret Whales | 60c | 111.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MVK Esports | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked MVK Esports | 33c | 102.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked MVK Esports | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Team Secret Whales | 68c | 89.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed MVK Esports | 34c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Team Secret Whales | 69c | 86.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed MVK Esports | 42c | 82.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MVK Esports | 40c | 73.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…6c4abacked MVK Esports | 68c | 69.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 573 | 47.6%273 W · 300 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Team Secret Whales | 63c | 43.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MVK Esports | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xace0…6ccdbacked Team Secret Whales | 58c | 34.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed MVK Esports | 43c | 34.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 522 | 52.5%274 W · 248 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked MVK Esports | 62c | 26.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Team Secret Whales | 58c | 22.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.