Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e147a91107cd45bb6a5128beb31bd78b7e5676eeec500e6ea677af080b1f7ab

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, MVK Esports
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,722 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4337…8882backed MVK Esports	28c	6,975$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,952.99	1,098	34.8%382 W · 716 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MVK Esports	20c	3,649$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.7	1,468	28.9%424 W · 1,044 L	+23.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Secret Whales	73c	2,656$1,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729.57	1,806	39.1%707 W · 1,099 L	-30.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Secret Whales	72c	2,522$1,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.74	1,258	38.6%485 W · 773 L	-61.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed MVK Esports	9c	1,840$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.79	2,226	37.5%834 W · 1,392 L	-29.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed MVK Esports	27c	1,567$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.7	68	36.8%25 W · 43 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Secret Whales	71c	1,500$1,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.59	1,151	56%644 W · 507 L	+25.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MVK Esports	20c	1,191$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.21	1,592	34%541 W · 1,051 L	-79.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MVK Esports	11c	1,085$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.31	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Team Secret Whales	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	197	44.2%87 W · 110 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MVK Esports	5c	761.6$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.66	1,058	23.5%249 W · 809 L	-75.8wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed MVK Esports	28c	706.85$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.92	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Team Secret Whales	72c	694.44$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.44	501	55.3%277 W · 224 L	-21.6wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked MVK Esports	7c	600$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	147	61.2%90 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed MVK Esports	29c	577.16$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.99	386	40.4%156 W · 230 L	-17.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Secret Whales	72c	575$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161	1,940	48.1%934 W · 1,006 L	+22.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b48…df6fbacked Team Secret Whales	73c	512$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.36	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Team Secret Whales	73c	500$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	145	47.6%69 W · 76 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Team Secret Whales	72c	500$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	268	56%150 W · 118 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Secret Whales	72c	499.99$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	241	47.3%114 W · 127 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed MVK Esports	28c	490.57$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.36	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Team Secret Whales	72c	472.96$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.43	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked MVK Esports	28c	361.71$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.66	147	35.4%52 W · 95 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb6…a2fcbacked MVK Esports	11c	355.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	98	35.7%35 W · 63 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed MVK Esports	30c	285$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.52	1,310	37.3%489 W · 821 L	-86.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Team Secret Whales	72c	278.26$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.26	474	53.4%253 W · 221 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales	72c	277.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.78	843	60.1%507 W · 336 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MVK Esports	10c	270.15$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.41	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed MVK Esports	30c	250.37$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.95	530	47.2%250 W · 280 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked MVK Esports	10c	199.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	1,158	42.6%493 W · 665 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Team Secret Whales	72c	199$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.72	282	40.8%115 W · 167 L	-16.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed MVK Esports	29c	198$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.42	1,638	46.7%765 W · 873 L	-26.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked Team Secret Whales	72c	193.63$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.21	230	23%53 W · 177 L	-19.5wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MVK Esports	18c	179.4$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.61	1,922	42.2%811 W · 1,111 L	-45.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked MVK Esports	10c	161.41$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	208	26.9%56 W · 152 L	-13.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Secret Whales	79c	153.76$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.78	1,899	37.1%705 W · 1,194 L	-113.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c8…3025backed Team Secret Whales	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	124	71%88 W · 36 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed Team Secret Whales	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	162	64.2%104 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Team Secret Whales	72c	135.12$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.37	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	-9.2wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MVK Esports	29c	121.68$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	1,643	44.4%730 W · 913 L	-42.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Secret Whales	80c	117.78$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.87	1,063	47.2%502 W · 561 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Team Secret Whales	72c	111.11$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.11	115	63.5%73 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Team Secret Whales	79c	101.56$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.56	645	56.6%365 W · 280 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Secret Whales	80c	101.25$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.25	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed MVK Esports	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Team Secret Whales	74c	86$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.94	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked MVK Esports	26c	77.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8112…4129backed Team Secret Whales	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	130	65.4%85 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed MVK Esports	29c	62.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	306	43.1%132 W · 174 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6af4…e516backed MVK Esports	18c	57.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Team Secret Whales	71c	42.85$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.35	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…37e2backed Team Secret Whales	72c	41.76$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	81	66.7%54 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Team Secret Whales	72c	41.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	244	53.3%130 W · 114 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Team Secret Whales	71c	41.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.99	520	49.2%256 W · 264 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed MVK Esports	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	797	45.8%365 W · 432 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MVK Esports	29c	34.49$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Team Secret Whales	71c	34.49$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	608	49.5%301 W · 307 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284a…8759backed Team Secret Whales	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Secret Whales	71c	25.72$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.46	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Team Secret Whales	72c	22.41$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.27	54	64.8%35 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Secret Whales	71c	20.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.05	1,826	39.9%728 W · 1,098 L	-61.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Team Secret Whales	69c	19.54$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.06	219	53%116 W · 103 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Team Secret Whales	71c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.64	358	48.9%175 W · 183 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Team Secret Whales	70c	14.29$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.29	232	64.2%149 W · 83 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonthis page
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event