Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18eb2e6deb10c3611aa7f9dfbd0c29d7bfa01fad15dff408ffa095b5a29c1e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, MVK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9024…a444backed MVK Esports | 1c | 18,018$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -74%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Secret Whales | 69c | 1,083$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.65 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MVK Esports | 28c | 911.29$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.16 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MVK Esports | 30c | 635$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MVK Esports | 21c | 599.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MVK Esports | 30c | 511.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed MVK Esports | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…b2a6backed Team Secret Whales | 71c | 420.67$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed MVK Esports | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Team Secret Whales | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Team Secret Whales | 71c | 281.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MVK Esports | 17c | 276.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MVK Esports | 28c | 249.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked MVK Esports | 33c | 223.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 567 | 44.8%254 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked MVK Esports | 33c | 221.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…a72dbacked Team Secret Whales | 71c | 211.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Secret Whales | 70c | 202.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Team Secret Whales | 69c | 202.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…6c4abacked Team Secret Whales | 69c | 192.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 573 | 47.6%273 W · 300 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Secret Whales | 67c | 129.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MVK Esports | 26c | 120.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed Team Secret Whales | 69c | 102.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 340 | 56.2%191 W · 149 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Secret Whales | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed MVK Esports | 37c | 99.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Secret Whales | 72c | 88.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MVK Esports | 30c | 80.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MVK Esports | 24c | 79.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…4c94backed MVK Esports | 37c | 76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…2ae7backed Team Secret Whales | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked MVK Esports | 17c | 64.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed MVK Esports | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 29.7%47 W · 111 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…19f5backed Team Secret Whales | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales | 69c | 43.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Team Secret Whales | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…95a9backed Team Secret Whales | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Team Secret Whales | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Team Secret Whales | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.