Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ce3d293838d385365649e516ac324582dacdb89612f0e6a1504904a5800011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Team Heretics, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 7,340$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.91 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Team Heretics | 62c | 3,635$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.59 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Heretics | 19c | 3,550$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.82 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Heretics | 13c | 2,774$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.01 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Heretics | 54c | 2,737$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.57 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 2,285$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.89 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 1,523$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.01 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Heretics | 20c | 1,412$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.53 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Heretics | 15c | 1,332$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 843.29$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.84 | 518 | 49.6%257 W · 261 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Heretics | 19c | 809.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 807.24$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.09 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Team Heretics | 39c | 553.38$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 444.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 384.74$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 332.4$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Heretics | 47c | 308$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 292.02$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Heretics | 59c | 272.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Heretics | 55c | 241.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics | 48c | 218.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…1feebacked Team Heretics | 53c | 188.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…f926backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 161.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 151.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 141.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 135.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Heretics | 12c | 123.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 100.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Heretics | 36c | 92.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 393 | 50.9%200 W · 193 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Team Heretics | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f4…1b42backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 59.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 59.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked Team Heretics | 56c | 58.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 49.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Heretics | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Heretics | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Heretics | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Team Heretics | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 37.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 160 | 31.3%50 W · 110 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Team Heretics | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Team Heretics | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…340bbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaKarmine Corp won
- Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.