Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79884f89c81772f5680f17816bed0962ba8840b2c99f68b43966cc3869defa7d

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Karmine Corpof Team Heretics, Karmine Corp
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,249 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Team Heretics	29c	12,295$3,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,575.05	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Heretics	48c	5,525$2,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,631.4	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Karmine Corp	61c	3,671$2,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,434.3	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp	59c	2,805$1,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,146.4	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Karmine Corp	51c	2,009$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$994.05	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Karmine Corp	69c	1,888$1,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.01	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp	59c	1,847$1,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.14	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp	51c	1,485$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730.35	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Heretics	53c	900.3$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.32	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+10.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Team Heretics	35c	796.94$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.5	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Team Heretics	17c	770$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.4	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Karmine Corp	47c	725$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.25	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Karmine Corp	49c	652.16$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.25	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Team Heretics	25c	499.99$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	224	49.1%110 W · 114 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Team Heretics	3c	499.76$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	152	17.8%27 W · 125 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae4f…0967backed Karmine Corp	47c	489.82$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.82	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Team Heretics	26c	453$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.78	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked Karmine Corp	49c	350$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.5	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Team Heretics	30c	329.99$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.54	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Karmine Corp	49c	328.63$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.9	149	41.6%62 W · 87 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Heretics	26c	308.6$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.75	621	56.4%350 W · 271 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed Team Heretics	22c	287.91$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.35	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed Team Heretics	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics	48c	243.27$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.77	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Team Heretics	52c	240.34$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.57	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics	44c	227.27$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.53	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Heretics	29c	223$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.26	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Heretics	18c	199.93$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.99	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics	34c	184.16$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.89	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Heretics	40c	183.38$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.92	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Heretics	55c	181.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp	56c	160.18$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.12	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Heretics	41c	153.29$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.96	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked Karmine Corp	71c	140$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.6	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Karmine Corp	48c	130.49$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.86	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team Heretics	26c	119$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Heretics	40c	116.91$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.59	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Karmine Corp	70c	107.22$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.13	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Team Heretics	16c	91.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	123	35.8%44 W · 79 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Team Heretics	58c	86.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	42.7%47 W · 63 L	-7.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Karmine Corp	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Karmine Corp	49c	78.66$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.11	285	41.1%117 W · 168 L	-26.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Team Heretics	55c	72.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	203	47.3%96 W · 107 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Team Heretics	18c	70$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	93	14%13 W · 80 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Heretics	31c	69.42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.47	389	50.6%197 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked Karmine Corp	75c	65.25$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.31	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Team Heretics	53c	62.32$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.03	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed1c…494dbacked Team Heretics	43c	53$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.86	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87dd…a331backed Team Heretics	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Heretics	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Karmine Corp	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked Karmine Corp	48c	36.46$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.96	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7065…d555backed Karmine Corp	55c	29.63$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.34	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5323…3ff8backed Karmine Corp	62c	29.03$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.03	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6505…1feebacked Team Heretics	51c	26.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.46	86	54.7%47 W · 39 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked Karmine Corp	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	164	52.4%86 W · 78 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Karmine Corp	65c	22.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.91	169	63.3%107 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Team Heretics	55c	22.73$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaKarmine Corp won
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event