Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabd1e944d7dd09532b3acfbb0302da173b443b445a77a92d237ada2be60819bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Evil Geniuses, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 3,489$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.31 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels | 45c | 2,016$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.59 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Sentinels | 50c | 1,995$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Evil Geniuses | 53c | 1,318$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.88 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Sentinels | 54c | 685.25$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.93 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses | 60c | 446.77$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.22 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Evil Geniuses | 40c | 280$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Sentinels | 28c | 271.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Evil Geniuses | 23c | 271.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Evil Geniuses | 42c | 259.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Evil Geniuses | 51c | 242.15$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Evil Geniuses | 65c | 156.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Sentinels | 72c | 124$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Sentinels | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Sentinels | 62c | 69.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9440…7863backed Evil Geniuses | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Evil Geniuses | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sentinels | 37c | 34.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Sentinels | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Sentinels | 46c | 30.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Sentinels | 58c | 23.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Evil Geniuses | 52c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cf…a424backed Sentinels | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…3f90backed Sentinels | 71c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…e157backed Evil Geniuses | 74c | 17.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsSentinels won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.