Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Anastasia Potapova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb5eaf1785e02a868405c411bbe74b4fd74dd24544469d965a12d56975cb3bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seidelof Seidel, Potapova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seidel | 80c | 20,041$15,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.17 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Potapova | 15c | 9,081$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.73 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Potapova | 20c | 8,396$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.56 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Potapova | 28c | 3,523$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.31 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Potapova | 24c | 3,031$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Potapova | 70c | 3,014$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.56 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Potapova | 12c | 3,005$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.11 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Seidel | 28c | 2,206$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.86 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Seidel | 32c | 1,607$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.68 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Potapova | 25c | 1,360$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Potapova | 12c | 1,039$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Potapova | 53c | 1,021$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.52 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Potapova | 31c | 782.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Potapova | 70c | 717.69$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.17 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Seidel | 50c | 664.96$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.86 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seidel | 72c | 655$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Seidel | 32c | 612.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.87 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Seidel | 35c | 599.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Potapova | 31c | 590.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Potapova | 53c | 567.72$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…a1d7backed Potapova | 30c | 366.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Potapova | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Potapova | 71c | 349.69$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.28 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Potapova | 67c | 341.3$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Potapova | 40c | 284$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Seidel | 37c | 272$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.33 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Potapova | 68c | 264.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Potapova | 33c | 225.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Potapova | 33c | 171$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Potapova | 26c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Potapova | 66c | 158.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Seidel | 52c | 157.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Potapova | 18c | 154.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Potapova | 66c | 150.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Potapova | 10c | 148.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Potapova | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Potapova | 28c | 126.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Potapova | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Potapova | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Potapova | 68c | 118.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Seidel | 33c | 118$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Potapova | 68c | 110$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…2eddbacked Seidel | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Potapova | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Potapova | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Seidel | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…d66dbacked Potapova | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Potapova | 64c | 72.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Seidel | 32c | 63.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Seidel | 21c | 55.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Seidel | 28c | 53.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Potapova | 70c | 52.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Seidel | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Seidel | 22c | 48.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Seidel | 30c | 42.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Potapova | 72c | 40.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…5718backed Potapova | 48c | 37.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…575ebacked Potapova | 48c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Potapova | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Potapova | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…3110backed Potapova | 66c | 21.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Seidel | 69c | 20.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Potapova | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Potapova | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Potapova | 76c | 19.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Potapova | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Anastasia Potapovathis page
- Seidel vs. Potapova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.