Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa557012315e642903aa19771143308a1a5638d4722d80208add8a755957da7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Royal Fightersof Beijing Royal Fighters, Jilin Northeast Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 30c | 2,115$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.19 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 24c | 1,503$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.35 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 79c | 1,503$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.16 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 35c | 1,156$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 26c | 999.87$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.42 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 69c | 979.76$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.18 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 72c | 956.94$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.94 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 70c | 706.85$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 69c | 652.9$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 73c | 593.05$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 70c | 578.66$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 67c | 429.43$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 70c | 335.88$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 24c | 284.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 74c | 272.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 19c | 219.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 27c | 200.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 26c | 154.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 69c | 145.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 30c | 138.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 70c | 134.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 35c | 114.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 29c | 113.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 70c | 96.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 75c | 70.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 70c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 29c | 68.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 74c | 67.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 70c | 67.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 23c | 61.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c79…ea52backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 61c | 24.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…2055backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.