MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d9dfada10dcb3bf7763933d59a433e16077d6616b0498e06ccc898810203c8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $548,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $548,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Guardians | 39c | 387,343$150,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236,610.96 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 61c | 341,880$208,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,546.68 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 36c | 22,660$8,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,098.95 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 62c | 19,877$12,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,227.89 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 75c | 17,480$13,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.91 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 61c | 16,658$10,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,180.66 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets | 61c | 12,850$7,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…ce4ebacked Guardians | 39c | 10,001$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mets | 62c | 7,035$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.41 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets | 5c | 5,067$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.36 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Guardians | 38c | 5,022$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.64 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Guardians | 40c | 4,867$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.07 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Mets | 64c | 3,917$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Mets | 62c | 3,710$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.2 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Mets | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…3a20backed Mets | 61c | 3,280$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Guardians | 39c | 3,139$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.79 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Guardians | 39c | 3,045$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Mets | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 38c | 2,513$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.09 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 22c | 2,486$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb024…1b23backed Mets | 61c | 2,460$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…db91backed Mets | 61c | 2,458$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Mets | 62c | 2,400$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 61c | 2,379$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mets | 3c | 2,161$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 36c | 2,101$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.88 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Guardians | 38c | 2,097$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 39c | 1,910$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.26 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…8bbabacked Mets | 61c | 1,803$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…d826backed Mets | 60c | 1,664$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 61c | 1,282$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.05 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mets | 61c | 1,204$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.18 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Guardians | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Mets | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Guardians | 39c | 981.82$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 61c | 958.51$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.69 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Guardians | 38c | 951$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.62 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Mets | 62c | 943.55$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mets | 2c | 774.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mets | 62c | 673.18$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.37 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 48c | 612$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 38c | 611.98$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Guardians | 37c | 551.11$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.2 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Guardians | 74c | 543.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets | 3c | 524.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Guardians | 38c | 500.02$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.01 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mets | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mets | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 79c | 490.29$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Mets | 60c | 433$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Mets | 12c | 424.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 39c | 398.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.87 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…add1backed Mets | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Guardians | 40c | 391.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.96 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 39c | 385$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.85 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Guardians | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians | 38c | 355$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.1 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 58c | 346.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 39c | 333$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mets | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Guardians | 40c | 320$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.42 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Mets | 5c | 285$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Guardians | 39c | 257$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Guardians | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Guardians | 39c | 250$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Guardians | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 40c | 215$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 39c | 213$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 39c | 210.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Guardians | 39c | 205.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5b02backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Mets | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…9969backed Mets | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…d95cbacked Mets | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…ca51backed Mets | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Mets | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…a553backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…18d9backed Mets | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…d24cbacked Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b281backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…a478backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…ced0backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…3394backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…199ebacked Mets | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…0883backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fd…1753backed Guardians | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.