Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd999d267c15bec797988a994a791711ad408821e8177417561ca13f3655fbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,565$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.03 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 66c | 1,959$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.58 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 1,900$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 33c | 1,567$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.44 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 77c | 1,374$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 65c | 1,331$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.8 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 67c | 999.96$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 33c | 450.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 66c | 308.82$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 64c | 271.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 13c | 217.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 198.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 23c | 195$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 177$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 68c | 154.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 67c | 139.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 31c | 114.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 66c | 105.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 33c | 104.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes | 27c | 77.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 33c | 74.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 75c | 67.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 33c | 50.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…f180backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…c574backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…3748backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 31.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…d004backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Everton win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.