Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05b2ca55fff117ab9efdb0208d0f2e29c97bf5ba777dd8eb04f92e1d7b213ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 29c | 2,264$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.43 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 63c | 1,169$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.16 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 1,121$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 49c | 1,075$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 801$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 51c | 786.24$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.06 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 30c | 644.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.98 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 29c | 510.43$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.43 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 52c | 434.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 29c | 344.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.78 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 48c | 306.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 8c | 249.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 70c | 200.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 153.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 68c | 148$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 95.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes | 40c | 78.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Yes | 48c | 66.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 38c | 55.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 59c | 46.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed Yes | 29c | 34.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 31.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 72c | 27.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 71c | 23.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 58c | 19.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-13?No won
- Will Everton win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.