Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Xavier Musketeers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c42d1fc00555b6c28e917fa4064fe13aea41e0c475f9e9a28ec43a6ec1b0ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santa Clara Broncosof Santa Clara Broncos, Xavier Musketeers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Xavier Musketeers | 63c | 1,057$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.46 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Santa Clara Broncos | 38c | 671$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.11 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 35c | 359.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Xavier Musketeers | 63c | 254.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 35c | 209.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Santa Clara Broncos | 39c | 209.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 80c | 207.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…9305backed Xavier Musketeers | 64c | 156.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Santa Clara Broncos | 37c | 152$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…e48fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 10c | 102.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Santa Clara Broncos | 38c | 92.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xavier Musketeers | 16c | 73.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Santa Clara Broncos | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Santa Clara Broncos | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 38c | 44.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…e2b1backed Xavier Musketeers | 62c | 40.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…96a8backed Santa Clara Broncos | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…e1efbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 48c | 32.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 25.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Xavier Musketeers | 64c | 23.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Santa Clara Broncos | 77c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.