TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ninjas in Pyjamasof Team WE, Ninjas in Pyjamas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf78…7736backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c15,295$7,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,656.646159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team WE50c14,764$7,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,324.5290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Team WE3c13,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401050%0 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas51c9,755$4,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,812.4364455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas50c8,816$4,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,437.3996948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa792…7a71backed Team WE51c8,323$4,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,244.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Team WE36c7,834$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.2423020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Team WE36c5,481$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.1522624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ninjas in Pyjamas64c5,422$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.12,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45081443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team WE48c3,409$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.451,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Team WE48c3,242$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.191,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Team WE45c3,218$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.729345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c3,109$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.461,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Team WE50c3,073$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.5732440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas64c2,922$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.2773237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team WE17c2,724$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.281,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas68c2,723$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.8970462.1%437 W · 267 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas51c2,582$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26567250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Team WE49c2,418$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.618549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Ninjas in Pyjamas64c2,167$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1321746.5%101 W · 116 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team WE32c2,107$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.7481333%268 W · 545 L-43.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team WE50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Team WE51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01096347.7%459 W · 504 L+2.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team WE46c1,998$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.0876642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas52c1,988$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.242,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team WE46c1,986$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.595541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas49c1,978$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.976540%26 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team WE49c1,953$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.3769539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc53…871bbacked Team WE50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team WE50c1,700$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85071249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas52c1,599$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.079637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team WE50c1,500$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7451,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c1,477$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.581,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb37…1708backed Ninjas in Pyjamas73c1,469$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.834951%25 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Team WE19c1,200$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22597527.8%271 W · 704 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27a…d8c4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas80c1,192$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.617460.8%45 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team WE26c1,073$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.751,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team WE35c1,072$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.962,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Team WE50c1,048$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.021,21954.5%664 W · 555 L+52.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a59…c83cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c974.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.91560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas52c973.78$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.411,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebc…e34bbacked Team WE7c923.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.318041.3%33 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4ab3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas78c838.81$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.046058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Team WE47c836.08$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.1629338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c826.89$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9842148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas69c745.26$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9763161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Team WE31c728$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0819437.6%73 W · 121 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team WE35c670.72$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8782044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas62c639.14$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.8726645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9587…408cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas49c601.96$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30714754.4%80 W · 67 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas64c599.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21684360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team WE50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29138837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas63c580.49$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.942,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas61c568.92$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.159952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team WE9c549.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Team WE14c543.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.341,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed Team WE12c498.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8716660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c496.76$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8755750.4%281 W · 276 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd046…416ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c487.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.457646.1%35 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Team WE43c480.65$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6810352.4%54 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30f1…e639backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c472.37$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.085251.9%27 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas51c466.66$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6630856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas65c452.6$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9223754%128 W · 109 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Team WE43c448.51$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1759341.8%248 W · 345 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas68c430.35$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.092,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20039152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453d…7accbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas64c391.36$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.891154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a7…6f38backed Ninjas in Pyjamas60c390.4$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.17466.2%49 W · 25 L+12.4wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x36e8…f78fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c389.68$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.564383.7%36 W · 7 L+8.2wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+32.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9892…8137backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c389.47$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.887368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2468557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Team WE48c384.62$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6221147.9%101 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Team WE51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1250051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas62c358.47$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2284450.1%423 W · 421 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8542…9405backed Team WE3c350$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.518910.1%19 W · 170 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf44…760bbacked Team WE42c339.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas52c333.94$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.291,25554.1%679 W · 576 L-30.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Ninjas in Pyjamas55c314.49$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2248747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Team WE21c311.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.481,04944.6%468 W · 581 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466a…241dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas50c309.33$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick28cpaid+55.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Team WE49c304.67$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2977654.8%425 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Ninjas in Pyjamas58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Ninjas in Pyjamas51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14768443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed Team WE48c291.73$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0234844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas52c263.85$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6521749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Team WE18c211.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0364451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team WE16c202.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.181,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c202.19$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.941,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10056341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d07…8b9ebacked Team WE50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044047.5%209 W · 231 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a37…e5edbacked Team WE9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick32cpaid-91.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Team WE8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1672234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c34…a023backed Team WE48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Team WE48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,23249.4%609 W · 623 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9877545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Team WE49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9448852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.974344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.992354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.