Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x261d954a37b54525f92f22f0f88d16165911c11248affecc1426237f32a1661f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 19c | 30,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,908$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.98 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,796$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 589$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 579.26$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 20c | 333.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 247.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 36c | 224.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 219.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed No | 77c | 191.68$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.59 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 189.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 46c | 186.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Yes | 80c | 153.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 42c | 151$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 39c | 146.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 42c | 141.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 43c | 103.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 60c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 42c | 93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 59c | 86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 42c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 39c | 66.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 48.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked No | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 67c | 45.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee79…dd6abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 58c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed No | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked No | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x830f…1c47backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.