Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Furman Paladins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea1c9e4b6251f4b1f7d7f3d1dc0d445907cb5c13da63e88b3eba610eee357a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Carolina Catamountsof Western Carolina Catamounts, Furman Paladins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 5,767$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 5,180$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.79 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 48c | 3,220$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.32 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Furman Paladins | 1c | 2,017$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Furman Paladins | 64c | 1,025$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.99 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Furman Paladins | 42c | 1,012$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Furman Paladins | 39c | 930$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.02 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 50c | 884.58$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 39c | 629.18$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.72 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Furman Paladins | 51c | 624.56$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.91 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 532.39$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.16 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Furman Paladins | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…3ceebacked Furman Paladins | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 472.23$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Furman Paladins | 55c | 441.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.43 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Furman Paladins | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 42c | 306.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.66 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Furman Paladins | 41c | 269.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Furman Paladins | 36c | 225.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Furman Paladins | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Furman Paladins | 37c | 189$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 35c | 179.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 59c | 107.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 48c | 102$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 56c | 92.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 40c | 90.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Furman Paladins | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Furman Paladins | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 43c | 46.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Furman Paladins | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Furman Paladins | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Furman Paladins | 38c | 36.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Furman Paladins | 55c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…e7febacked Furman Paladins | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Furman Paladins | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Furman Paladins | 43c | 25.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Furman Paladinsthis page
- Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.