Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0daa9c73802372b39e6b43be47d7921521ea7e434917609c7974d464cbfcd74c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof Clemson Tigers, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 19c | 3,430$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 42c | 2,623$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.73 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 18c | 2,447$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.43 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 11c | 2,244$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10c | 2,201$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clemson Tigers | 58c | 1,900$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clemson Tigers | 58c | 1,520$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 1,101$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9c | 1,087$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 13c | 1,076$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 18c | 999.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9c | 980.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 42c | 795$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 22c | 584.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 525$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 28c | 500.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 20c | 460.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 11c | 457.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 5c | 374.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Clemson Tigers | 66c | 334.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 4c | 330.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9c | 307.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 41c | 298$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clemson Tigers | 78c | 276.57$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clemson Tigers | 71c | 274.01$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 245$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Clemson Tigers | 73c | 137.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 42c | 123.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 44c | 107.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 95.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 18c | 79.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 44c | 75.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Clemson Tigers | 68c | 61.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Clemson Tigers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Clemson Tigers | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dc…ece8backed Clemson Tigers | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clemson Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishthis page
- Clemson Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 132.5Over won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 133.5Over won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 134.5Over won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-2.5)Clemson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.