Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993f231577114cddff94184aa19c19a79ac760227af48352241e2c158039230a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Koprivaof Kopriva, Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Busta | 11c | 4,041$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Busta | 5c | 3,921$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.05 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Busta | 10c | 2,198$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.53 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Busta | 4c | 1,800$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Busta | 50c | 1,490$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.02 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Busta | 22c | 1,127$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Kopriva | 65c | 1,020$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.88 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked Busta | 16c | 610.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Busta | 7c | 523.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Busta | 11c | 509.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Busta | 13c | 508.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Busta | 15c | 473.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Kopriva | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kopriva | 48c | 243.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Busta | 13c | 195.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Busta | 63c | 159.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Busta | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Busta | 10c | 142.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked Busta | 62c | 127$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Busta | 11c | 121.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Busta | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Busta | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Kopriva | 76c | 105.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Kopriva | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Busta | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Busta | 14c | 74.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Kopriva | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Kopriva | 66c | 65.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Busta | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kopriva | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.