MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf8cbdac9301c62592974b2ac9693e3dfc6019475e55bfcef86a4ad3f5da3e39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61f6…e497backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 3,189$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.07 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 2,228$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,546$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 1,394$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.07 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 894.64$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 854.61$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 704.92$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 661.07$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.47 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 616.54$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 531.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.97 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 491.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 449.48$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.75 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 307.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…a58fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 291.49$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 258.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 236.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 192.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 186.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 183.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 156.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…deffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 142.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 121.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 114.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 102$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 96.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 91.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 90.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 89.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 87.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 81.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…839fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 67.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 66.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 53.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 47.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 46.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 45.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 43.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 42.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 42.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 39.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 39.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 35.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 35.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 34.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 32.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 30.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3514…5993backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 28.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 27.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 25.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 18.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.