South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c847db7d20eca24809e4a6674103b8558fd329059334e499c329e8f10c16d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,268$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 57c | 1,169$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.69 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 25c | 999.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.93 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes | 47c | 411.94$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Yes | 40c | 285.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 276.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 33c | 175$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…b10fbacked No | 75c | 164.21$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 40c | 59.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 60c | 55.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 40c | 47.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 40c | 40.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 40c | 34.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 59c | 31.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)Independiente del Valle won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)Independiente del Valle won
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.