NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98db7d4deda52b047d72a2632076430808b6a373bbcf1ed31ed1c44c70a2fec9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Grizzlies, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,025,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $948,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,025,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Grizzlies | 10c | 184,677$18,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,241.06 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 156,156$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.18 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Grizzlies | 11c | 90,881$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996.91 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Grizzlies | 29c | 90,875$26,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,122.48 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 67,758$7,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,075.83 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 49c | 37,651$18,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,345.14 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 11c | 31,050$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Grizzlies | 5c | 25,206$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.98 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Grizzlies | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 16,571$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.82 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Grizzlies | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 2c | 10,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 10,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Grizzlies | 11c | 7,369$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.55 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Grizzlies | 8c | 7,328$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 7,273$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.03 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Grizzlies | 3c | 6,000$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…0625backed Grizzlies | 12c | 3,933$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Grizzlies | 7c | 3,514$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Grizzlies | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Grizzlies | 11c | 3,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…7548backed Grizzlies | 3c | 2,775$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…ea5cbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 2,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Grizzlies | 5c | 1,973$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,905$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Grizzlies | 3c | 1,533$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 4c | 1,461$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Grizzlies | 11c | 1,400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,256$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,224$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,163$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…337dbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 1,037$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 12c | 968.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Grizzlies | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…3946backed Grizzlies | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7c…7f1ebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 650$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…f3efbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 633.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 599.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Thunder | 65c | 519$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Grizzlies | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…b09cbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 450$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…265abacked Grizzlies | 12c | 420.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Grizzlies | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…aee1backed Grizzlies | 12c | 370$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Grizzlies | 10c | 324.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Grizzlies | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Grizzlies | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Grizzlies | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec35…3c89backed Grizzlies | 4c | 277.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 273$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…3c57backed Grizzlies | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2a8ebacked Grizzlies | 11c | 243.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Grizzlies | 5c | 196.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Thunder | 54c | 194.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…75c3backed Grizzlies | 12c | 188.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Grizzlies | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…042bbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Grizzlies | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…2812backed Grizzlies | 12c | 166.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…4728backed Thunder | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…5dd7backed Grizzlies | 40c | 166$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…30b4backed Grizzlies | 11c | 164.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…7268backed Grizzlies | 11c | 156$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…b42fbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 147.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…6f1ebacked Grizzlies | 11c | 145.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…1a8dbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 142.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…b4dfbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 136.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…8cf2backed Grizzlies | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0aa…9631backed Grizzlies | 11c | 126.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…99ecbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…a499backed Grizzlies | 11c | 124$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…45aabacked Grizzlies | 12c | 119.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…ab20backed Grizzlies | 11c | 110.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…da0cbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…6dabbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 105.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe688…7715backed Grizzlies | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Grizzlies | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb70…e880backed Grizzlies | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…1a6ebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…bb38backed Grizzlies | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.