Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
East Carolina Pirates vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc28312e94fd275d8d935d2d2dacf4790cda1166361c9f9391b0d099a11567d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $878,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $895,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 648,717$343,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343,736.07 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 47c | 546,033$256,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289,397.72 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 46c | 99,164$45,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,548.57 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 53c | 66,041$35,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,001.34 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 53c | 28,341$15,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,020.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 53c | 12,800$6,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,783.98 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 11,669$5,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,165.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.83 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 47c | 3,050$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.5 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.97 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 47c | 2,895$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.42 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 47c | 2,126$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.53 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 2,055$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.11 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 47c | 1,366$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.98 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,271$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.36 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 49c | 1,215$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.79 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 47c | 1,085$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.11 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.45 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…2aedbacked Under | 49c | 742.33$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 54c | 690.81$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.04 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 47c | 586$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Under | 49c | 572$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 47c | 470$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 49c | 261.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 54c | 251.24$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 49c | 240.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…fb30backed Over | 54c | 174.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Over | 54c | 126.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 49c | 121.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 110.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 53c | 110.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 54c | 101.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 47c | 99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…2f23backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 82.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 49c | 78.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 54c | 66.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Under | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c4…e040backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over | 54c | 53.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 47c | 50.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Under | 47c | 42.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Over | 54c | 37.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 54c | 34.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Under | 48c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed Over | 54c | 22.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- East Carolina Pirates vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5this page
- East Carolina Pirates vs. Wichita State ShockersWichita State Shockers won
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-12.5)Wichita State Shockers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.