MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6082aeca563bd5498579dc548d6099c68ff5e78ceb5f17acf051035a13e7f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 213,434$100,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,038.71 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 55,555$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.7 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 54,405$30,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,097.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 45,304$21,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,557.87 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 17,117$8,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,986.44 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 15,284$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 14,617$7,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,609.18 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 13,500$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 12,927$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 10,224$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,418.72 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 9,238$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 7,950$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 7,518$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.05 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 6,447$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 6,000$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 5,700$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 3,745$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.87 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 3,335$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.53 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 3,158$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.24 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 3,136$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.01 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 3,086$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.64 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 3,072$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 3,058$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 2,410$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.35 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,011$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.59 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,941$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,863$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.64 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 15c | 1,619$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 1,588$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.76 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,565$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.24 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,465$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.85 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,223$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.33 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 1,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 973$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 861$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.08 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 769$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…eef1backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 725.69$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 717.46$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.37 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 679$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.87 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 620$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 570$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 550.62$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.83 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 546.5$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.18 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 500$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 446.59$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 441.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 424.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 411.72$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9a2bbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 345.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.13 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 288.17$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 284.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 267$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 256$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked San Diego Padres | 76c | 246$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 241.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 233.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 221.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 221.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 166$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 159.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 142.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 141.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 119$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 118.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 11c | 111.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 111.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 104.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 103.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0a0dbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697c…0b87backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 14.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-5.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-6.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.