Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e28a16ac6b738af970ac0ab0db791abce2cb16a2455db517c7baf8a792df7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QT DIG∞of QT DIG∞, Fennel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked QT DIG∞ | 56c | 311.02$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Fennel | 78c | 251.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Fennel | 57c | 235.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fennel | 67c | 173.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Fennel | 57c | 153$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…9293backed QT DIG∞ | 54c | 144.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QT DIG∞ | 23c | 132.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked QT DIG∞ | 44c | 119.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked QT DIG∞ | 34c | 107.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked QT DIG∞ | 39c | 98.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed QT DIG∞ | 35c | 98.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Fennel | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked QT DIG∞ | 34c | 83.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked QT DIG∞ | 38c | 79.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Fennel | 57c | 74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked QT DIG∞ | 54c | 61.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked QT DIG∞ | 36c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fennel | 59c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…9fd7backed Fennel | 55c | 48.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fennel | 73c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fennel | 64c | 37.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fennel | 53c | 35.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked QT DIG∞ | 45c | 32.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked QT DIG∞ | 70c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Fennel | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…9433backed Fennel | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals PlayoffsQT DIG∞ won
- Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel - Map 2 WinnerQT DIG∞ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.