MLB · resolved market
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf17d21e34ab0a04fcda6ee187e37d1e2773c7c18413ba50fa3db2b4c786ca8e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Athletics, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 48c | 5,588$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.11 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 3,819$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 2,205$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.55 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Athletics | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Athletics | 51c | 2,139$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.66 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics | 50c | 998.16$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.93 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 663.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.92 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 540$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 49c | 516.09$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.89 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Athletics | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 225.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 219.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Athletics | 50c | 214.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 209.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 189.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Athletics | 36c | 185$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 167.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 164.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Athletics | 35c | 153.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 150.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Athletics | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 113.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Athletics | 48c | 100.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Athletics | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Athletics | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Athletics | 48c | 82.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Athletics | 58c | 78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 75.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 61.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…87f8backed Athletics | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 50.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Athletics | 51c | 50.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 48.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 46.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies | 72c | 45.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 44.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Athletics | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Athletics | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…4531backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Athletics | 47c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Athletics | 48c | 27.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 25.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Colorado Rockies | 75c | 23.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 22.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Colorado Rockies | 60c | 20.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.