MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5d7a6d18fc2c9c7320cc6507cc2c128e1401a89c0fb0c1c53823e0e9fdd7095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 242,890$122,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,655.84 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 49c | 130,000$63,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,300 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 50c | 69,785$34,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,892.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 18,282$9,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,138.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 6,540$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.14 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 4,936$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.32 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 4,300$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 53c | 3,759$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.43 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 1,925$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 1,469$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Under | 49c | 1,400$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,383$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 49c | 1,059$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.67 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 52c | 841$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.68 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 52c | 560.37$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.98 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 60c | 537.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Over | 52c | 505.31$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 52c | 375.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 47c | 375.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 319$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 279.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 273$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 48c | 215$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 160.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 76c | 143$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 49c | 108.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Over | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 51c | 86.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…f631backed Under | 52c | 79.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 52c | 79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 52c | 77.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…b2afbacked Under | 49c | 43.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…d179backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…4531backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…eb35backed Under | 49c | 32.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 52c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Under | 49c | 26.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Under | 49c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 20.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.