TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c51,950$28,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,052.851,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago White Sox46c13,837$6,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,471.9892054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox46c13,684$6,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,349.4111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox46c8,654$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,673.163,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox46c4,974$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.325,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox47c2,739$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.612,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox41c2,703$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.5312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Chicago White Sox46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35029147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c2,409$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.622,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Chicago White Sox46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox46c1,740$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.61,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c1,696$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.0753150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Chicago White Sox48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65017546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c1,029$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.221,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.264,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c948.08$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.443745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c926.12$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c677.78$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36613354.9%73 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c677.77$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Chicago White Sox46c628.11$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1861450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox46c431.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.092,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox46c426.38$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.241,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago White Sox48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.448354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox55c344.94$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.58,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox46c299.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1628,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Chicago White Sox45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.225040%20 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox46c220.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.816,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Chicago White Sox46c215$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.11,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Chicago White Sox48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3352947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Chicago White Sox46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011951.3%61 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c173.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.823,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Chicago White Sox46c173.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8743560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Chicago White Sox48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6766551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Chicago White Sox48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6716844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Chicago White Sox48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8367449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox46c145$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.32,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.241152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago White Sox47c139.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.782,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Chicago White Sox39c116$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.761,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox67c108$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.785,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Chicago White Sox45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8947549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Chicago White Sox48c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.247848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Chicago White Sox48c84.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8819654.1%106 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Chicago White Sox46c82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2872648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5872154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ad…1014backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Chicago White Sox46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.525850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ce…c3b5backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c74.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Chicago White Sox48c71.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.164748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c68.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.886,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox59c67.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdef6…d18fbacked Chicago White Sox48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.545348.6%220 W · 233 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Chicago White Sox45c62.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2227646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6046…87f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0887…28f3backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c50.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8815452.6%81 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Chicago White Sox50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Chicago White Sox48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2685949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Chicago White Sox46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2717953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox47c46.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.813,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c46.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.429,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Chicago White Sox46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Chicago White Sox46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c39.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.412,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers32c37.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013155.7%73 W · 58 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c36.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.919550.8%99 W · 96 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox78c36.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f12…effbbacked Chicago White Sox46c29.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.937343.8%32 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Chicago White Sox48c29.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1789950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Chicago White Sox47c27.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7434754.8%190 W · 157 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox46c26.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.456,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Chicago White Sox40c26.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.021,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Chicago White Sox47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.251,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Chicago White Sox48c24.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9414546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox47c23.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.628,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Chicago White Sox48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f5…97b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c19.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.693650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c17.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Chicago White Sox77c15.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.562,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.