MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d8f0df48e8f1eaeee6cc17d62323cb834a868973eb02794401995bb13b5ab35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Chicago White Sox, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 8,981$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,825.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 76c | 6,524$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 1,226$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 869.52$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.27 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…fc54backed Chicago White Sox | 16c | 606.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chicago White Sox | 76c | 467$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.92 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 213.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 201.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 199$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Chicago White Sox | 76c | 111.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 96.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 89.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 73.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 67.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 57.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 37.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 36.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 32.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Chicago White Sox | 76c | 31.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 31.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 28.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 27.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 26.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Chicago White Sox | 76c | 15.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.