TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b88…8f33backed Over49c12,500$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,37544851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under51c11,633$5,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,932.8332251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c10,322$5,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,263.991,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.598943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c6,350$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.824,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over49c4,284$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.023,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under49c4,063$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c1,325$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.58,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under53c981.6$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.8228154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c633.21$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.5611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30026948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c473.47$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.359,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c443.28$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.178,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over42c433.84$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.728,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c384.8$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.41,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under55c361.12$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.523,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under52c337$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.242,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Under51c336.82$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.786662.1%41 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Under51c332.53$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.598733.3%29 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over39c320.55$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.812,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over59c309.9$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15358652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c264.55$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.026,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over34c263.26$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.951,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under59c261.93$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.784,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over50c249.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.992,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c234.94$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.384,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over34c222.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6247549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over39c215$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.153,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over47c215$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.951,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over48c206$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1250748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c192.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c117.82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.231,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over39c110.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.431,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over39c104.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.651,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0447849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529141.8%38 W · 53 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under45c95.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.316,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under56c94.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.822,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over37c92.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.513,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…30febacked Over27c92.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.192540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under27c89.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.291,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under49c86.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.872,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf67d…2de1backed Over27c77.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.377444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under55c75.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.065,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over39c75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7544745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Over50c66.79$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.416450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Over50c63.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9813148.9%64 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8327646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.834748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c63.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.936,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309639.6%38 W · 58 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over44c53.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.172,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b8…2350backed Over27c49.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.821942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Over48c45.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3919550.8%99 W · 96 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Over39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.477836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0025…6ca8backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over57c34.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.811,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Over49c33.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3324749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over31c32.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.71,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e4…c62abacked Over50c31.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.842944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over49c29.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Under50c29.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.629354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.253950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0606…b2afbacked Under48c25.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.112835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2599744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over50c20.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.161,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b8…d4b3backed Under59c20.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127655.3%42 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109146.2%42 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x123e…eed4backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3056…2b09backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd3…1e24backed Under64c19.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.792020%4 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under74c14.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6426063.8%166 W · 94 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.