Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Laurent Lokoli vs Samuele Seghetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x107c22b96c0bc171e9fdc596df3fad1dede286b4fbdc9bf35e98becd7de77068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laurent Lokoliof Laurent Lokoli, Samuele Seghetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x085b…97dabacked Samuele Seghetti | 17c | 4,094$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Samuele Seghetti | 46c | 1,865$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.09 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Laurent Lokoli | 63c | 1,739$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Samuele Seghetti | 52c | 1,143$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Samuele Seghetti | 36c | 988.75$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.49 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Samuele Seghetti | 43c | 733.97$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Laurent Lokoli | 69c | 645.67$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.95 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Samuele Seghetti | 46c | 432.46$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Laurent Lokoli | 56c | 358.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Laurent Lokoli | 71c | 354.7$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Laurent Lokoli | 58c | 346.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Samuele Seghetti | 40c | 317.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Laurent Lokoli | 63c | 298.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Laurent Lokoli | 60c | 246$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Samuele Seghetti | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Laurent Lokoli | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Laurent Lokoli | 65c | 161.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Laurent Lokoli | 64c | 156.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Laurent Lokoli | 70c | 131.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Laurent Lokoli | 61c | 129.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Laurent Lokoli | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Laurent Lokoli | 55c | 118.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Laurent Lokoli | 49c | 105.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Laurent Lokoli | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Laurent Lokoli | 69c | 99.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Laurent Lokoli | 55c | 86.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Laurent Lokoli | 54c | 69.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Laurent Lokoli | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Laurent Lokoli | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M25 Lesa Men: Laurent Lokoli vs Samuele Seghettithis page
- ITF M25 Lesa Men: Completed Match: Laurent Lokoli vs Samuele SeghettiYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.