MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f24da03be3742ba81fb4ba7aeb9c4ac21770ee370b5bb4088520522b2cb3cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 68c | 8,921$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.02 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 8,469$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,595.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 4,861$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Under | 51c | 4,282$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Under | 55c | 3,581$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.35 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 53c | 3,030$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.41 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 2,862$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.3 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 2,756$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.76 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 47c | 2,594$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.18 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Over | 31c | 2,246$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.85 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 2,238$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.86 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 2,048$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 2,006$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.76 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 52c | 1,717$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.35 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 1,650$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.27 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 1,168$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.82 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 1,157$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.18 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.84 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 62c | 861.18$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.14 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 54c | 756.87$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.12 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 63c | 684$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.18 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 32c | 662.09$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.22 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Over | 48c | 617.37$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 45c | 520.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 457.49$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 363.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 47c | 327.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 326$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 43c | 319.45$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 50c | 317.25$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.63 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 300.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 60c | 285.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 268.23$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 244$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 32c | 223.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.17 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 35c | 215.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 35c | 215.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 188.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 35c | 171.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 26c | 164.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 48c | 164$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 48c | 160$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 33c | 144$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 48c | 129.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 39c | 118.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 46c | 117$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 114.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 49c | 109.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 42c | 108.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 107.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 50c | 100.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 63c | 72.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 64c | 71.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 49c | 71.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 69c | 64.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 30c | 64.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 53.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 53c | 50.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 32c | 48.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…c771backed Under | 54c | 43.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Over | 39c | 39.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 64c | 38.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 64c | 38.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Over | 48c | 37.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 48c | 37.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 30c | 36.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 47c | 33.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 40c | 29.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Over | 40c | 29.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.