MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d95ffac6df4151d3cca34407dfa6b7b9eae118392b3718704ee74615142f599
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 41c | 70,088$28,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,171.8 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 59c | 34,920$20,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,487.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 55c | 19,025$10,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,555.83 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 75c | 14,999$11,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.69 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 7,261$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 5,611$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 58c | 4,466$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.42 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 4,339$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 59c | 3,380$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 59c | 3,020$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.05 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 45c | 1,720$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.8 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 59c | 1,278$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.74 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 59c | 1,170$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 59c | 1,119$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 933.03$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 59c | 910$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.9 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 44c | 682.71$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.6 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 45c | 645.2$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.86 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 57c | 415.16$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.64 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 25c | 408.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 59c | 356.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.63 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 56c | 313$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 226$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 41c | 225.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 45c | 218.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 10c | 210.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 43c | 197.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 45c | 186$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 182.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Over | 59c | 140.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 41c | 139.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 45c | 133.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 118.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 60c | 115.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 45c | 89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…4024backed Over | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 59c | 75.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 45c | 64.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 45c | 64.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 61.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 59c | 60.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Over | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Over | 20c | 52.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 49c | 49.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 59c | 45.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 59c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 60c | 38.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…4e4ebacked Over | 59c | 32.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…d327backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Over | 59c | 25.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefe…7ff4backed Over | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…cff0backed Over | 59c | 24.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 43c | 24.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 20.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh PiratesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.