MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6216d86e522f11aae3f30faddd06427cd07389acc38de9dff1c0d4dd669d93a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,578,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,556,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,578,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 29c | 1,266,865$366,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900,241.24 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 71c | 366,634$260,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260,965.46 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mets | 71c | 330,970$234,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234,988.7 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 71c | 100,000$71,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Mets | 71c | 100,000$71,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mets | 71c | 52,200$37,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,062 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 71c | 42,070$29,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,869.95 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 71c | 38,367$27,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,240.57 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Mets | 71c | 34,483$24,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,482.96 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 71c | 30,124$21,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,387.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 62c | 28,028$17,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,286.89 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mets | 72c | 26,000$18,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,720 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Mets | 72c | 25,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 58c | 21,192$12,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,302.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets | 71c | 12,888$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150.48 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 71c | 11,000$7,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,810 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mets | 36c | 10,109$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.02 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 65c | 7,892$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.39 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Mets | 39c | 7,364$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mets | 45c | 6,259$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.52 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 72c | 6,121$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.12 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 71c | 5,915$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.65 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Nationals | 28c | 5,010$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nationals | 58c | 4,948$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.02 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 71c | 4,470$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 72c | 4,444$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.68 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Mets | 72c | 2,913$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.36 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 44c | 2,605$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 30c | 2,533$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.3 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Nationals | 60c | 1,841$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Mets | 72c | 1,688$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Mets | 22c | 1,343$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 39c | 1,311$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.29 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Nationals | 29c | 1,029$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.67 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Mets | 72c | 881.24$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.49 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 70c | 864.69$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.58 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mets | 47c | 854$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.78 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mets | 63c | 842$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.46 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mets | 71c | 803.33$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.33 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mets | 67c | 796.72$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.65 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 28c | 713.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.98 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 28c | 573.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.8 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 44c | 544.43$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.37 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Nationals | 58c | 520$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 40c | 508.34$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Mets | 53c | 500$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Mets | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 42c | 488.09$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.09 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Mets | 66c | 406.52$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Mets | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mets | 72c | 394$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.68 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Nationals | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nationals | 29c | 339.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.79 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 60c | 286.63$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 54c | 282.07$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 45c | 278.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 47c | 271.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nationals | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Mets | 32c | 221.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Mets | 46c | 220.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Mets | 37c | 217$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mets | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 72c | 194.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mets | 22c | 187$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Nationals | 30c | 160$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 47c | 157.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets | 71c | 152.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Nationals | 43c | 145$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Mets | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…af9cbacked Mets | 36c | 137.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mets | 42c | 127.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mets | 72c | 127$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Mets | 41c | 114.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Mets | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mets | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Mets | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Nationals | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…3b89backed Mets | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Mets | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 29c | 94.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Mets | 72c | 86.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Mets | 46c | 86.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Nationals | 29c | 82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Nationals | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…5301backed Mets | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Mets | 53c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 64c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b7…701dbacked Mets | 41c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Nationals | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Nationals | 62c | 67.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Nationals | 28c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Nationals | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Metsthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.