TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami Marlinsof Chicago White Sox, Miami Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago White Sox44c18,038$7,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,872.3998149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Miami Marlins60c15,928$9,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,447.9821656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd6…b163backed Miami Marlins58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins65c7,101$4,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.282,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Chicago White Sox42c5,982$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Chicago White Sox42c5,843$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Chicago White Sox42c5,135$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.8560451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox42c5,003$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.241,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Miami Marlins56c3,603$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.391,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Miami Marlins58c3,261$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.432070%14 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+47.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox42c2,908$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.052,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Chicago White Sox42c2,852$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.411050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Chicago White Sox1c2,676$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Miami Marlins56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Chicago White Sox42c2,298$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.216547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox42c2,266$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.255,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Chicago White Sox3c2,163$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.932218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Miami Marlins58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.998151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Miami Marlins57c1,880$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.492951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Chicago White Sox42c1,300$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.9911741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Miami Marlins58c1,180$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.392360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Chicago White Sox42c1,149$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.610451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Chicago White Sox41c1,120$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.461947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami Marlins56c1,111$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.2867250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Miami Marlins57c1,100$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4736437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Miami Marlins58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42034648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Miami Marlins58c974.8$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4211744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Chicago White Sox42c824.4$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.256350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf020…cddbbacked Chicago White Sox8c706.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.95922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Chicago White Sox43c679.77$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.661,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins59c548.31$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.544,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Miami Marlins57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21561346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Chicago White Sox16c474.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.42733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago White Sox42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0494034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Chicago White Sox42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.045345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Chicago White Sox41c387.97$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0744643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chicago White Sox42c371.53$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0432348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Miami Marlins57c338$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Miami Marlins59c330.29$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.210842.6%46 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Miami Marlins56c324.17$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6467849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Miami Marlins59c292.62$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9759150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Chicago White Sox42c272.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.54148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Miami Marlins58c252.1$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8811844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Chicago White Sox42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5214953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Chicago White Sox42c226.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0717155%94 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins58c221.85$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.696,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins78c214.14$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.116,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Miami Marlins59c202.52$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0318157.5%104 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Chicago White Sox41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8235245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Miami Marlins58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c31…ebdbbacked Miami Marlins58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8417448.9%85 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Chicago White Sox41c199.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9968846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Chicago White Sox42c196.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5160350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins59c195.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins58c194.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.881,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Chicago White Sox42c179.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3156851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins57c178.94$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.941,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Miami Marlins59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.782,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Miami Marlins59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7827644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea0…865dbacked Miami Marlins59c153.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0416952.1%88 W · 81 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Chicago White Sox14c133.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-49.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…8058backed Chicago White Sox43c110.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Miami Marlins74c105.32$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7910847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Miami Marlins58c100.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1118754%101 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Miami Marlins57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4373653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox42c99.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.492,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Miami Marlins59c97.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9950962.9%320 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Chicago White Sox43c96.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5334145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Chicago White Sox43c96.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5358943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Miami Marlins58c95.23$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015757.3%90 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago White Sox41c87.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.082,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Miami Marlins59c83.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2611352.2%59 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Miami Marlins59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.891,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Miami Marlins58c79.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.668942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Miami Marlins58c78.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.161,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Chicago White Sox18c77.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.971,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…a7dcbacked Miami Marlins58c67.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.248348.2%40 W · 43 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Miami Marlins59c66.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.114746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Miami Marlins59c66.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.114459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Chicago White Sox43c65.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.341833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Miami Marlins58c63.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.821,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago White Sox41c62.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7246547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Miami Marlins57c59.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Miami Marlins63c52.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.283262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Miami Marlins59c49.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3356946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Miami Marlins59c49.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3261948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Chicago White Sox41c48.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0122949.8%114 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Miami Marlins73c46.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.431,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Chicago White Sox42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.31,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…06b3backed Chicago White Sox42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82a7…18aebacked Miami Marlins59c44.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Chicago White Sox36c44.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0566749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Miami Marlins58c43.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.426750.7%34 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Miami Marlins71c42.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2177752.1%405 W · 372 L+36.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x426a…f5edbacked Miami Marlins58c42.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.651258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Miami Marlins58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.89756.7%55 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x483b…027ebacked Chicago White Sox42c38.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Chicago White Sox37c37.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Miami Marlins69c35.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.061782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.0wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+58.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.