TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Marist Red Foxes vs. Manhattan Jaspers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marist Red Foxesof Marist Red Foxes, Manhattan Jaspers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Manhattan Jaspers34c2,091$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.061,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Marist Red Foxes68c1,948$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.5824444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Marist Red Foxes66c1,738$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.589645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Marist Red Foxes66c1,390$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.682,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Manhattan Jaspers34c1,298$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.551,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Manhattan Jaspers3c961.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Marist Red Foxes68c749.53$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0316350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Manhattan Jaspers19c680.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.053,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Manhattan Jaspers41c618.49$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.035,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Manhattan Jaspers32c426$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.322,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Manhattan Jaspers35c308.93$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.34,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Manhattan Jaspers34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Manhattan Jaspers35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Marist Red Foxes62c296.07$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Manhattan Jaspers34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006346%29 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Marist Red Foxes67c285.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.661,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Manhattan Jaspers34c259.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1321646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Marist Red Foxes74c249$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Marist Red Foxes67c224.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Marist Red Foxes56c219$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.362,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Manhattan Jaspers10c213.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Manhattan Jaspers33c199.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Marist Red Foxes65c194.58$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.982,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Manhattan Jaspers29c184.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5717627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Manhattan Jaspers34c157.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Manhattan Jaspers33c157.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.971,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Manhattan Jaspers33c151.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Marist Red Foxes65c151.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9774152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Manhattan Jaspers34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507227.8%20 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Manhattan Jaspers33c114.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.441,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Marist Red Foxes67c104.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.612251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manhattan Jaspers36c101.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.571,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Manhattan Jaspers33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Manhattan Jaspers22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.361,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Manhattan Jaspers32c98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.645,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Marist Red Foxes67c89.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4324340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked Marist Red Foxes65c72.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Manhattan Jaspers32c69.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.341,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Marist Red Foxes67c67.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0134943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Manhattan Jaspers33c60.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Marist Red Foxes67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Marist Red Foxes67c57.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.921,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Manhattan Jaspers35c48.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e8…c9e1backed Marist Red Foxes65c44.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.471172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Manhattan Jaspers34c42.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.310347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Manhattan Jaspers34c40.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Marist Red Foxes67c37.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5719860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x500e…0faabacked Marist Red Foxes67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.252250%11 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06fd…c0bebacked Marist Red Foxes68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marist Red Foxes72c24.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.023,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Marist Red Foxes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3913565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb241…20f7backed Marist Red Foxes68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Marist Red Foxes59c20.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.286549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Marist Red Foxes67c17.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9110353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x890b…97bebacked Marist Red Foxes67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.